How Our Computer Systems Work

My Background

I am a software developer by trade, with a BS in Computer Science from Siena College and a minor in Math and Physics, with a passion for analyzing data. I live in upstate New York and develop computer systems for General Electric as a consultant. I decided to take my computer and math skills and try and devise computer systems that could help me beat the Vegas odds.

I created this site to help others benefit from the thousands of hours I have put into these systems, and of course to create an honest handicapping service that is based on hard work and not outrageous 70% claims.

How My Systems Make NFL Picks

For my NFL systems, they are a culmination of trial and error. I have written numerous analytical programs that analyze a game from different perspectives. I researched to find out what stats were important to covering the spread, and then tried to write computer programs to determine which team was most likely to achieve these stats. Some of the computer programs worked, and on their own achieved a level of success as to determining the eventual spread winner, while others failed to predict anything significant. So what the 10* Recommended Picks finally boil down to, are 17 independent computer programs that I use in conjunction with each other to help me provide you with the best picks of each week.

NFL Pick Results

Do the programs work?... The 10* NFL Picks Results are (116 - 65) 64% since 1998 I have used these picks to successfully come in the TOP 10 of the Ultimate Handicapping Challenge THREE times, once in '2000 and once in '2004 and once in '2006. Both in '2000 and '2004 I hit 60% or higher.

NFL Game Simulation Software (Great For NFL Office Pool Picks)

Since the 10* system is designed to give out usually from 1 to 3 picks per week, a lot of members were asking if I could create something that also picks all the games each week, so last year ('2006) I wrote a brand new system called the NFL Game Simulator.

The Simulator, uses the stats and tendencies of the two teams and plays out a game 1000 times to see which team covered the spread more of the time. So after 1000 games played it will say for example Miami covered the 6 points 56.7% of the time against the Jets. This system is completely independent of the 10* system in it's debut it correcly picked 57% ATS for every game in the 2006 season!. And in 2008, it did even BETTER!...Going (149-95) 61% ATS picking EVERY game in the 2008 season.

All I ask you, is to give me a chance. I know my systems work, do they win every week? Of course not. But I promise you that if you stay with me over the long haul, and wager on every 10* NFL Pick, I will make you a profit.

My NBA service began in late 2007, it had taken me most of that year to get my systems developed and tested. In 2007 I didn't give out a lot of plays because it was so late in the year and I stop the service come playoff time. So even though the NBA picks I gave out hit at over 60%, there wasn't a big enough sampling size to know if it was legit. So 2008 would be my first FULL NBA Season.

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